Strategy Fixed rates (Flat)
The easiest and in my opinion a reasonable way to sports betting (flat-betting) – every time you make a lump sum amount bid or a cash equivalent, or a percentage. The amount of your bets is always equal to 2% of the bank and increases only if the bank has grown, for example by 25%.
In this situation, you always put an amount equal to a percentage of your bank. If the bank is reduced, then the sum rate is less than if the bank grows, then the amount of your bets increases. This type can be safely attributed to the first method betting – flat, but we see that the amount of this variant varies as a smaller and bigger side.
Financial management J.R.Miller
Miller (J.R.Miller) is one of the most famous and successful American bettors, who established his own system of betting. In essence, this method resembles the option “Flat”, as described above, but with the proviso that his approach to the events with probability is 50 to 50%. We consider the bid with coefficients 1.85 – 1.95 depending on the bookmaker margin.
Go with the proviso that such tactics are applicable to players who find themselves in positive territory in more than 55% of the rates on these factors. Once your bank grows by 25%, the amount of bet rises. Note that the amount of loss also increases proportionally, which makes this method relatively risky, given that the game is all on the same 2% of the bank.
Kelly Criterion.
This sweepstake strategy was developed in 1956 by John L. Kelly to play at the stock market. This method of sports betting does not allow you to quickly get rich, but it also will not immediately be destroyed. First, we note that using this strategy, you really have to be very well-versed in the sport, because the basis for its use is that you properly assess the chances of players or teams for victory, and bookies give erroneous coefficients. Apply the formula: coefficient * probability of an outcome (in your opinion)> 1.
Your bid is equal to a certain percentage of the bank (your money for betting). To calculate the percentage, use the formula: (rate * probability of an outcome (in your opinion) – 1) / (the proposed ratio – 1) = percentage of your bank
Consider the following example:
factor = 2.6 Probability of outcome (in your opinion) = 0.45
First, use the first formula to check if the rate: 2.7 * 0.4 = 1.08> 1, respectively, your bet is profitable and can bring you 8% profit.
Next, determine your interest rate from the bank, we assume that you have in the bank 500 USD
(2,7 * 0.4-1) / (2.7-1) = 0.047%
Total amount of your bet will be: 500 * 0.047 = 23.5 cu
It is very interesting, but be careful!
